📕
A Trader Life Blog
  • Journey of a trader
  • Financial Markets
    • Financial Markets
      • Definition
      • Bonds
      • Crypto
      • Commodities
      • Futures
      • Forex
      • Stock market
    • Players
    • Tools
      • Overview
      • Technical analysis
      • Fundamental Analysis
  • TRADING STRATEGIES
    • Description
    • Binary options trading
      • Overview
      • Types of binary options trades
      • More details
      • Binary options trading strategies
        • Multiple bars High or low Binary Options Strategy
      • Glossary
    • Candlesticks
      • Candlesticks description
    • Chart patterns
      • Chart patterns description
    • Forex Scalping
      • Scalping description
    • Support and resistence
      • Support and Resistence description
    • Trend Following
      • Trend following description
  • Ideas
    • Options ideas
    • Commodities ideas
    • Crypto ideas
      • Sells Walls: You know know what these are and how to spot them.
      • New to crypto? Check this top 10 Crypto pairs list PRO and CON before you get in
      • How to consistently make returns with DCA
      • Three simple tools that can help you know the state of the bullrun
      • ATTENTION NEW TO CRYPTO PEOPLE
      • Stable coins
      • Practical Guide to Making and Taking Profits in Crypto
      • 50 Crypto Trading and Investing lessons
      • Red flags of crypto
      • TOP 50 crypto coins
    • Forex ideas
      • New to Forex? Then read this
      • Currencies PRO and CON
    • Stock market ideas
  • Education
  • Books
    • Technical analysis books
    • Stock market and finance
    • Psychology books
  • Extras
    • Page 1
    • THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT IT MEANS when someone says TO DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH (DYOR)
    • A one sentence summary of all the most popular scams so you know what to look out for.
    • Rules for success
    • 5 fundamental truths for trading
    • How to create a trading strategy
    • Components of an efficient strategy
    • Types of trading orders
    • Crypto slangs
    • Correlation of Cryptocurrencies
    • Central Bank Digital Currencies
  • Psychology of trading
    • Skill vs Luck
    • A list of dont's
    • How to know you are good trader
    • ZEN Trading
    • Types of traders
    • First steps
    • Pay yourself first
    • 90-90-90 Rule
    • 10 more things to know
    • Emotional states of a trader
    • Golden rule of trading
    • When can I become a full time trader?
    • How to lose your money with 10 simple steps :)
    • Old Rules...but Very Good Rules
  • Risk management
    • Overview
    • Risk to reward calculation
    • Gains needed to recover from loss
    • Practical example
    • Money management
    • Money management v2
  • Fundamental analysis
    • How to do properly a crypto research
    • APR vs APY
    • Major fundamental news
    • Value investing
    • Interest rates
    • Essential features of ETF's
    • Fundamentals Chart
  • Technical Analysis
    • Types of market days
    • First steps
    • Advanced candlestick Patterns
    • Price channels
    • Key patterns of price action
    • Elliott wave cheat sheet
    • Trading patterns cheat sheet
    • The topics to study to become an expert in technical analysis
    • How to use Volume & Open Interest data as secondary indicators
  • Courses
    • Untitled
Powered by GitBook
On this page

Was this helpful?

  1. Extras

5 fundamental truths for trading

1. Anything can happen. Why? Because there are always unknown forces operating in every market at every moment, it takes only one trader somewhere in the world to negate the positive outcome of your edge. That's all: only one. Regardless of how much time, effort, or money you've invested in your analysis, from the market's perspective there are no exceptions to this truth. Any exceptions that may exist in your mind will be a source of conflict and potentially cause you to perceive market information as threatening. 2. You don't need to know what is going to happen next in order to make money. Why? Because there is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge. (See number 3.) In other words, based on the past performance of your edge, you may know that out of the next 20 trades, 12 will be winners and 8 will be losers. What you don't know is the sequence of wins and losses or how much money the market is going to make available on the winning trades. This truth makes trading a probability or numbers game. 3. There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge If every loss puts you that much closer to a win, you will be looking forward to the next occurrence of your edge, ready and waiting to jump in without the slightest reservation or hesitation. On the other hand, if you still believe that trading is about analysis or about being right, then after a loss you will anticipate the occurrence of your next edge with trepidation, wondering if it's going to work. This, in turn, will cause you to start gathering evidence for or against the trade, so you will not be in the most conducive state of mind to produce consistent results. 4. An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another. Creating consistency requires that you completely accept that trading isn't about hoping, wondering, or gathering evidence one way or the other to determine if the next trade is going to work. The only evidence you need to gather is whether the variables you use to define an edge are present at any given moment. When you use "other" information, outside the parameters of your edge to decide whether you will take the trade, you are adding random variables to your trading regime. Adding random variables makes it extremely difficult, if not impossible, to determine what works and what doesn't. Gathering "other" evidence makes about as much sense as trying to determine whether the next flip of a coin will be heads, after the last ten flips came up tails. Regardless of what evidence you find to support heads coming up, there is still a 50-percent chance that the next flip will come up tails. If the market is offering you a legitimate edge,determine the risk and take the trade. 5. Every moment in the market is unique. Take a moment and think about the concept of uniqueness. No two moments in the external environment will ever exactly duplicate themselves. To do so,every atom or every molecule would have to be in the exact same position they were in some previous moment. Not a very likely possibility.

PreviousRules for successNextHow to create a trading strategy

Last updated 3 years ago

Was this helpful?